An example to demonstrate the increasing rate (or decreasing period) of technical substitution is in the common subject of listening to music. The requirement for it from mankind has actually hasn’t changed for centuries but yet the way we all consume it has gone through several revolutions in the past decades:
People were able to listen at their houses to recorded music since 1877 when Thomas Edison invented the Gramophone record that played vinyl records. This invention evolved during the coming years but in changes that equivalent to the release of new versions that improved the existing technology. This way of listening to music became (almost) absolute after the audio CDs introduced. This happened around 1982. More the 100 years of domination of the gramophone, the previous technology. The next revolution was to listening to mp3 music files through mp3 players. The success of it around the world was made due to the combination of 2 major factors: the invention of mp3 audio file format- new brilliant audio data compression algorithm that reduced the size of each digital song record 10 times smaller and the availability of the internet, the new network that enabled to distribute the music digital files through peer to peer file sharing services such as Napster. And the new cheap and mobile mp3 players that the most famous among them was Apple’s Ipod.
Consuming music through mp3 players become rapidly in use all around the world since the ’00. Only 15 years after the audio CDs started its maturity phase, its substitutional technology pushed the audio CDs to its decline period.
But this was not the end. Nowadays the most common way to listen to music is through streaming services. This was made realistic and wildly available again due to the maturity of several new technologies: cloud computing technologies that allows us to use and enjoy data that physically stored somewhere remotely. The primary most famous service for this matter is Youtube. The second factor that changed during that years was the increasing bandwidth of wired and wireless internet that enables streaming of audio (as well as video) smoothly such as 4g protocol. And the last factor- the smartphone revolution that changed a lot of things but for this matter- enables us to take services such as Youtube with us to everywhere.
Streaming music is wildly used since 2007 which cause to domination of music via MP3 to last less than 10 years. What would be next?